Tom O'Neil's Inside Track

Tom O’Neil’s Inside Track: Oscars update after Telluride and Venice Film Festivals

Lots of frisky horses darted out of the gates at the Telluride and Venice Film Festivals, tripping up the Oscar derby — just the way we like it. But which ones really broke out of the pack?

All Oscarologists knew that “First Man” would be great – director Damien Chazelle (“La La Land,” “Whiplash”) never disappoints – but, yeowsa, he blasted through the stratosphere of high Oscar hopes again. Now it is Gold Derby’s official frontrunner for Best Picture based upon the combination of predictions by our Experts, Editors, Top 24 Users, Top 24 All Stars and all Users.

But hold your horses, Derbyites! “First Man” is tied for first place with “Roma,” if you only weigh the Oscar predictions of our Experts: four votes each, if you only count predictions made since Sept. 1.

Team “First Man”: Keith Simanton (IMDb), Sasha Stone (Awards Daily), my Gold Derby colleague Susan Wloszczyna and me.

Team “Roma”: Thelma Adams (Gold Derby), Matt Jacobs (HuffPo), Anne Thompson (Indiewire), Jeff Wells (Hollywood Elsewhere).

Strangely, the tie isn’t broken if you count all votes, even rankings made by our Experts before some of these flicks played at the fests. Total scores are tied at six. Erik Davis (Fandango) and Ed Douglas (Weekend Warrior) pick “First Man,” while Peter Travers (Rolling Stone) and Tariq Khan (Fox TV) opt for “Roma.”

Tom O'Neil's Inside Track
Editor and President Tom O'Neil founded Gold Derby in 2000.
Tom's Latest Updated Predictions
Oscars Nominations 2019
( Best Picture )
Bet Points: 100
  • 1
    A Star Is Born
    A Star Is Born
    10/1
  • 2
    Green Book
    Green Book
    42/1
  • 3
    Roma
    Roma
    10/1
  • 4
    The Favourite
    The Favourite
    23/2
  • 5
    Black Panther
    Black Panther
    20/1
  • 6
    First Man
    First Man
    15/2
  • 7
    Bohemian Rhapsody
    Bohemian Rhapsody
    100/1
  • 8
    Vice
    Vice
    18/1
  • 9
    If Beale Street Could Talk
    If Beale Street Could Talk
    11/1
  • 10
    BlacKKKlansman
    BlacKkKlansman
    7/1
  • Updated on: 15 Oct 18, 22:56 pm PT